Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.645325 10.715993 11.866828 13.197540 14.696010 16.333639 18.262196
2025-06-29 7.688985 9.066259 10.647041 12.602062 14.963833 17.735832 21.251903
2025-07-06 6.385595 7.926096 9.797863 12.253849 15.412516 19.366420 24.734618
2025-07-13 5.635104 7.328444 9.495786 12.499432 16.595302 22.044428 29.941405
2025-07-20 5.048621 6.848180 9.262886 12.781599 17.847575 24.983765 35.987249
2025-07-27 4.515209 6.360381 8.943956 12.884691 18.848552 27.707470 42.187225
2025-08-03 3.995008 5.819546 8.473084 12.690377 19.368612 29.783298 47.751460
2025-08-10 3.555309 5.339007 8.024416 12.456512 19.775499 31.720031 53.406355
2025-08-17 3.187960 4.922606 7.618504 12.226172 20.138769 33.616110 59.301246
2025-08-24 2.893603 4.585581 7.294492 12.079291 20.606725 35.737052 65.953891
2025-08-31 2.657446 4.315476 7.045582 12.021023 21.208745 38.165596 73.607932
2025-09-07 2.511941 4.179187 7.002183 12.310540 22.470159 41.985816 84.724926
2025-09-14 2.308792 3.928184 6.742076 12.190201 22.973751 44.486705 93.746447
2025-09-21 2.103183 3.652515 6.409482 11.893475 23.092531 46.239822 101.518942
2025-09-28 1.940226 3.437331 6.163823 11.732542 23.460127 48.566255 111.099448
2025-10-05 1.859267 3.364768 6.175484 12.082142 24.943411 53.552127 128.187064
2025-10-12 1.784969 3.297032 6.188339 12.434415 26.484286 58.935076 147.568142
2025-10-19 1.695030 3.190166 6.112708 12.589499 27.605744 63.532215 166.005830
2025-10-26 1.581859 3.026900 5.907112 12.436774 27.990942 66.403761 180.367126
2025-11-02 1.474479 2.865716 5.690085 12.232348 28.222986 68.930580 194.372525
2025-11-09 1.376541 2.715397 5.481563 12.022644 28.412298 71.381762 208.793856
2025-11-16 1.293844 2.589818 5.314115 11.889153 28.775626 74.369406 225.719327
2025-11-23 1.224896 2.487557 5.187836 11.839065 29.348982 78.048267 245.949429